‘s vice-president for 2 phrases. There can be some areas the place he’ll comply with Trump relating to India, and others the place he would diverge.
Defence, strategic and safety relations will doubtless comply with a path that has remained largely the identical since 2000, however there’s a divide within the Biden camp about its strategy to China, which might have implications for India.
India and the US can have commerce issues no matter who occupies the White House. H-1B visas are unlikely to return to the way in which they was. However, a Biden administration might additionally deliver up
violations in India, accusations of majoritarianism and Kashmir, which might collect traction in a Democrat-heavy Congress.
Here is what it means:
Biden and Kamala Harris
Biden comes with Kamala Harris, who, as vice-president, might play an enormous position in coverage making. As he has indicated that he could also be solely a one-term President, Harris is a shoo-in candidate for 2024. Look out for a way she weighs in on points.
Common international challenges
Biden reached out to Indian-Americans in his marketing campaign and has a benign view of India. The US-India relationship having grow to be institutionalised can be troublesome to undo. Anthony Blinken, a prime Biden strategist, has mentioned, We can’t resolve frequent international challenges with out India being a part of the deal… strengethening and deepening the connection with India goes to be a really excessive precedence.”
Defence and security
Defence, strategic and security relations between a Biden administration and India will largely stay on the path they have followed since 2000.
Relations with China
Team Biden is divided in its approach to China. This would have implications for US-India and India-China relations. Some of his advisers have taken a Trump-like hawkish view of China. Others say it is impossible to disentangle the US and Chinese economies, so there may be a decoupling in national security and critical technology areas, but not more.
The Biden campaign has not made its Indo-Pacific strategy clear. As the region is the central focus of Indian foreign policy, this space would have to be watched.
India and the US will have trade problems, no matter who is in power. During the Obama administration, too, trade friction between New Delhi and Washington was rampant. A Biden administration is not going to be forgiving on trade. Besides, Biden has his own version of Make America Great Again. Bill Burns, a top adviser to Biden, has said: “First and foremost, American foreign policy must support domestic revival.”
Human rights violations
A Biden administration may take note of human rights violations in India, accusations of Hindu majoritarianism, Jammu & Kashmir and repression therein. This could gather traction in a Democrat-heavy Congress, particularly among the progressives.
Counterterrorism in Afghanistan
It was Biden who proposed the US keep only a counterterrorism presence in Afghanistan. So, Trump’s withdrawal of troops is unlikely to be reversed.
Biden will certainly take the US back into the Paris Accord on climate. But India can expect to come under fire from him on coal use.
H-1B visas are unlikely to return in the way in which they was. While this might impression Indian techies, the pandemic has boosted distant working.